The problem asks us to perform a pooled t-test to determine if the average monthly sales of Product Line A are significantly greater than those of Product Line B, given the sample sizes, sample means, and sample standard deviations for each product line. We are to assume equal population variances and use a significance level of 0.01. Finally, we need to state the decision regarding the management's aim.

Probability and StatisticsHypothesis Testingt-testPooled t-testStatistical SignificanceOne-tailed testSample Statistics
2025/7/8

1. Problem Description

The problem asks us to perform a pooled t-test to determine if the average monthly sales of Product Line A are significantly greater than those of Product Line B, given the sample sizes, sample means, and sample standard deviations for each product line. We are to assume equal population variances and use a significance level of 0.
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1. Finally, we need to state the decision regarding the management's aim.

2. Solution Steps

a. State the null and alternative hypotheses:
Null hypothesis (H0H_0): The average monthly sales of Product Line A is less than or equal to the average monthly sales of Product Line B.
H0:μAμBH_0: \mu_A \le \mu_B
Alternative hypothesis (H1H_1): The average monthly sales of Product Line A is greater than the average monthly sales of Product Line B.
H1:μA>μBH_1: \mu_A > \mu_B
b. Given Data:
Product Line A:
nA=15n_A = 15
xˉA=1400\bar{x}_A = 1400
sA=140s_A = 140
Product Line B:
nB=20n_B = 20
xˉB=1250\bar{x}_B = 1250
sB=180s_B = 180
Significance level: α=0.01\alpha = 0.01
c. Calculate the pooled variance (sp2s_p^2):
sp2=(nA1)sA2+(nB1)sB2nA+nB2s_p^2 = \frac{(n_A - 1)s_A^2 + (n_B - 1)s_B^2}{n_A + n_B - 2}
sp2=(151)(140)2+(201)(180)215+202s_p^2 = \frac{(15 - 1)(140)^2 + (20 - 1)(180)^2}{15 + 20 - 2}
sp2=14(19600)+19(32400)33s_p^2 = \frac{14(19600) + 19(32400)}{33}
sp2=274400+61560033s_p^2 = \frac{274400 + 615600}{33}
sp2=8900003326969.69697s_p^2 = \frac{890000}{33} \approx 26969.69697
d. Calculate the t-statistic:
t=(xˉAxˉB)(μAμB)sp1nA+1nBt = \frac{(\bar{x}_A - \bar{x}_B) - (\mu_A - \mu_B)}{s_p \sqrt{\frac{1}{n_A} + \frac{1}{n_B}}}
Since we are testing if μA>μB\mu_A > \mu_B, we assume μAμB=0\mu_A - \mu_B = 0 under the null hypothesis.
t=1400125026969.69697115+120t = \frac{1400 - 1250}{\sqrt{26969.69697} \sqrt{\frac{1}{15} + \frac{1}{20}}}
t=15026969.696974+360t = \frac{150}{\sqrt{26969.69697} \sqrt{\frac{4 + 3}{60}}}
t=15026969.69697760t = \frac{150}{\sqrt{26969.69697} \sqrt{\frac{7}{60}}}
t=15026969.69697×0.1166667t = \frac{150}{\sqrt{26969.69697} \times \sqrt{0.1166667}}
t=15031464.9798t = \frac{150}{\sqrt{31464.9798}}
t=150177.3840.8456t = \frac{150}{177.384} \approx 0.8456
e. Determine the critical value:
Degrees of freedom = nA+nB2=15+202=33n_A + n_B - 2 = 15 + 20 - 2 = 33
Significance level α=0.01\alpha = 0.01, one-tailed test.
Using a t-table or calculator, the critical value t0.01,332.448t_{0.01, 33} \approx 2.448
f. Decision Rule:
If t>tcriticalt > t_{critical}, reject the null hypothesis.
If ttcriticalt \le t_{critical}, fail to reject the null hypothesis.
g. Conclusion:
Since 0.84562.4480.8456 \le 2.448, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.
b. Decision regarding the management's aim:
The pooled t-test does not provide enough evidence to support the claim that the average monthly sales of Product Line A are significantly greater than those of Product Line B at the 0.01 significance level. Therefore, we cannot confirm the management's aim based on the given data and the chosen significance level.

3. Final Answer

a. The t-statistic is approximately 0.
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6. b. The decision is: Fail to reject the null hypothesis. There is not enough evidence to support the management's aim that the average monthly sales of Product Line A are significantly greater than those of Product Line B at the 0.01 significance level.

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