The problem seems to be calculating the standard deviation of returns given probabilities and returns for different scenarios. The given data includes probabilities (pro), returns (R), the average return (R bar), the difference between return and average return (R - R bar), the square of the difference ((R - R bar)^2), and the product of the squared difference and the probability. The final goal is to calculate the standard deviation.
2025/7/17
1. Problem Description
The problem seems to be calculating the standard deviation of returns given probabilities and returns for different scenarios. The given data includes probabilities (pro), returns (R), the average return (R bar), the difference between return and average return (R - R bar), the square of the difference ((R - R bar)^2), and the product of the squared difference and the probability. The final goal is to calculate the standard deviation.
2. Solution Steps
Step 1: Calculate the expected return.
The expected return is calculated as the sum of the product of each return and its probability.
Step 2: Calculate the variance.
The variance is the expected value of the squared difference between each return and the expected return. From the given table, the final column is the product of the squared difference and the probability, so we can sum these values to calculate variance.
However, from the image, Variance (which is slightly off from calculation above because of the intermediate rounding in the image)
Step 3: Calculate the standard deviation.
The standard deviation is the square root of the variance.
Or,
3. Final Answer
The standard deviation is approximately 8.79%.