Teams A and B are playing a series of games. The first team to win 4 games wins the championship. Given that A won the first and second games, how many different sequences of wins and losses are possible until the championship is decided? Assume there are no ties.

Probability and StatisticsCombinatoricsProbabilitySequencesGame Theory
2025/4/24

1. Problem Description

Teams A and B are playing a series of games. The first team to win 4 games wins the championship. Given that A won the first and second games, how many different sequences of wins and losses are possible until the championship is decided? Assume there are no ties.

2. Solution Steps

Let A represent a win for team A, and B represent a win for team B. Since A has already won the first two games, we need to consider the different ways A can win 2 more games or B can win 4 games.
Since A has already won 2 games, A needs 2 more wins to win the championship, and B needs 4 wins to win the championship.
We can represent the possible sequences of games as follows:
If A wins in the next two games: AA. Then the sequence is AA. Number of ways:

1. Total number of games:

4. If A wins with 3 games: AAB or ABA or BAA.

If A wins with 4 games: AABB, ABAB, ABBA, BAAB, BABA, BBAA
If A wins with 5 games: AABBB, ABABB, ABBAB, ABBBA, BAABB, BABAB, BABBA, BBAAB, BBABA, BBBAA.
Another way to consider this is to look at how many games it takes for A or B to win.
The fewest number of games is 4 (A wins the next two).
The maximum number of games is 7 (B wins 3 games before A wins his 4th).
Let's consider how A can win. A needs to win 2 more games.
If A wins in 2 more games, then A wins the 3rd and 4th games. The sequence of wins is AA.
If A wins in 3 more games, B must win 1 game. A wins the last game. B can win at the 3rd, 4th or 5th game. The sequence is BAA or ABA or AAB. Number of games:

5. If A wins in 4 more games, B must win 2 games. A wins the last game. The two Bs can be arranged in $\binom{3}{2} = \frac{3!}{2!1!} = 3$ ways.

For example, BBAA, BABA, ABBA
However, the number of wins A needs to win is always

4. And the number of wins B needs to win is

4.
If A wins in 4 games, A has 2 wins already, so we need to add two A's and B can win a maximum of 3 games.
Let nn be the total number of games played.
4n74 \le n \le 7.
Number of games required to win is

4. If total games played is 4, then A wins games 3,

4. There is 1 sequence, AA

If total games played is 5, B wins 1 game. The sequence ends in A, and one B is in the 3 games before. (31)=3{3 \choose 1} = 3.
If total games played is 6, B wins 2 games. The sequence ends in A, and two Bs are in the 4 games before. (42)=6{4 \choose 2} = 6.
If total games played is 7, B wins 3 games. The sequence ends in A, and three Bs are in the 5 games before. (53)=10{5 \choose 3} = 10.
1+3+6+10=201 + 3 + 6 + 10 = 20

3. Final Answer

20

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