When planting trees, 20% of the seedlings do not survive. We need to find the most probable number of surviving seedlings out of 1000 planted seedlings.

Probability and StatisticsProbabilityBinomial DistributionExpected Value
2025/5/19

1. Problem Description

When planting trees, 20% of the seedlings do not survive. We need to find the most probable number of surviving seedlings out of 1000 planted seedlings.

2. Solution Steps

Let nn be the number of planted seedlings, so n=1000n = 1000.
Let pp be the probability of a seedling surviving. Since 20% of the seedlings do not survive, 80% do survive. Thus, p=10.20=0.80p = 1 - 0.20 = 0.80.
Let qq be the probability of a seedling not surviving, so q=0.20q = 0.20.
We are looking for the most probable number of surviving seedlings, which we denote by m0m_0. The most probable number m0m_0 satisfies the following condition:
npqm0np+pnp - q \le m_0 \le np + p
Plugging in the values:
1000×0.80.2m01000×0.8+0.81000 \times 0.8 - 0.2 \le m_0 \le 1000 \times 0.8 + 0.8
8000.2m0800+0.8800 - 0.2 \le m_0 \le 800 + 0.8
799.8m0800.8799.8 \le m_0 \le 800.8
Since m0m_0 must be an integer, the most probable number of surviving seedlings is m0=800m_0 = 800.

3. Final Answer

The most probable number of surviving seedlings is 800.

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