The problem asks us to find the probability that the absolute deviation of a normally distributed random variable $X$ from its expected value is less than 0.8. We are given that the expected value (mean) is 7 and the standard deviation is 2.5. We need to write the probability density function of $X$ and calculate $P(|X - 7| < 0.8)$.

Probability and StatisticsProbabilityNormal DistributionStandard DeviationExpected ValueZ-scoreProbability Density Function
2025/4/22

1. Problem Description

The problem asks us to find the probability that the absolute deviation of a normally distributed random variable XX from its expected value is less than 0.

8. We are given that the expected value (mean) is 7 and the standard deviation is 2.

5. We need to write the probability density function of $X$ and calculate $P(|X - 7| < 0.8)$.

2. Solution Steps

First, let's write the probability density function (PDF) for a normal distribution.
The PDF of a normal distribution is given by:
f(x)=1σ2πe(xμ)22σ2f(x) = \frac{1}{\sigma \sqrt{2\pi}} e^{-\frac{(x - \mu)^2}{2\sigma^2}}
where μ\mu is the mean and σ\sigma is the standard deviation. In this case, μ=7\mu = 7 and σ=2.5\sigma = 2.5. So the PDF is:
f(x)=12.52πe(x7)22(2.5)2=12.52πe(x7)212.5f(x) = \frac{1}{2.5 \sqrt{2\pi}} e^{-\frac{(x - 7)^2}{2(2.5)^2}} = \frac{1}{2.5 \sqrt{2\pi}} e^{-\frac{(x - 7)^2}{12.5}}
Next, we want to find P(X7<0.8)P(|X - 7| < 0.8). This is equivalent to finding P(70.8<X<7+0.8)P(7 - 0.8 < X < 7 + 0.8), or P(6.2<X<7.8)P(6.2 < X < 7.8).
To find this probability, we need to integrate the PDF from 6.2 to 7.8:
P(6.2<X<7.8)=6.27.812.52πe(x7)212.5dxP(6.2 < X < 7.8) = \int_{6.2}^{7.8} \frac{1}{2.5 \sqrt{2\pi}} e^{-\frac{(x - 7)^2}{12.5}} dx
We can standardize the normal distribution using the z-score formula:
z=xμσz = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma}
For x=6.2x = 6.2: z1=6.272.5=0.82.5=0.32z_1 = \frac{6.2 - 7}{2.5} = \frac{-0.8}{2.5} = -0.32
For x=7.8x = 7.8: z2=7.872.5=0.82.5=0.32z_2 = \frac{7.8 - 7}{2.5} = \frac{0.8}{2.5} = 0.32
So, we need to find P(0.32<Z<0.32)P(-0.32 < Z < 0.32) where ZZ is a standard normal random variable.
P(0.32<Z<0.32)=P(Z<0.32)P(Z<0.32)P(-0.32 < Z < 0.32) = P(Z < 0.32) - P(Z < -0.32). Because the standard normal distribution is symmetric around 0, P(Z<0.32)=1P(Z<0.32)P(Z < -0.32) = 1 - P(Z < 0.32) or P(Z<0.32)=P(Z>0.32)P(Z < -0.32) = P(Z > 0.32) . Another property is P(Z<0.32)=P(Z>0.32)=1P(Z<0.32)P(Z < -0.32) = P(Z > 0.32) = 1-P(Z < 0.32). Using a standard normal table or calculator, P(Z<0.32)0.6255P(Z < 0.32) \approx 0.6255. Then, P(0.32<Z<0.32)=0.6255(10.6255)=0.62550.3745=0.2510P(-0.32 < Z < 0.32) = 0.6255 - (1-0.6255) = 0.6255 - 0.3745 = 0.2510. Alternatively, P(0.32<Z<0.32)=P(Z<0.32)P(Z<0.32)=P(Z<0.32)(1P(Z<0.32))=2P(Z<0.32)1=2(0.6255)1=1.2511=0.2510P(-0.32 < Z < 0.32) = P(Z < 0.32) - P(Z < -0.32)= P(Z < 0.32) - (1-P(Z<0.32)) = 2P(Z<0.32)-1 = 2(0.6255)-1=1.251-1 = 0.2510.

3. Final Answer

The probability that the absolute deviation of the random variable from its expected value is less than 0.8 is approximately 0.
2
5
1

0. Final Answer: 0.2510

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