A company invests continuously in advertising. The table provides the advertising budget $x$ and the turnover $y$, in millions of francs, for four consecutive months. The regression line of $y$ on $x$ is given by $y = 9x + 0.6$. We need to: 1. Calculate the mean of $x$, denoted as $\bar{x}$.

Applied MathematicsRegression AnalysisStatisticsCorrelation CoefficientLinear RegressionData Analysis
2025/4/30

1. Problem Description

A company invests continuously in advertising. The table provides the advertising budget xx and the turnover yy, in millions of francs, for four consecutive months. The regression line of yy on xx is given by y=9x+0.6y = 9x + 0.6. We need to:

1. Calculate the mean of $x$, denoted as $\bar{x}$.

2. Calculate the mean of $y$, denoted as $\bar{y}$, as a function of $a$.

3. Using the results from questions 1 and 2, show that $a = 20$.

4. Calculate the correlation coefficient and determine if the correlation is strong.

5. Estimate $y$ for $x = 3.2$.

2. Solution Steps

1. Calculate $\bar{x}$:

xˉ\bar{x} is the average of the xx values: 1.2,1.4,1.6,1.8,21.2, 1.4, 1.6, 1.8, 2.
xˉ=1.2+1.4+1.6+1.8+25=85=1.6\bar{x} = \frac{1.2 + 1.4 + 1.6 + 1.8 + 2}{5} = \frac{8}{5} = 1.6

2. Calculate $\bar{y}$ as a function of $a$:

yˉ\bar{y} is the average of the yy values: 13,12,14,16,a13, 12, 14, 16, a.
yˉ=13+12+14+16+a5=55+a5\bar{y} = \frac{13 + 12 + 14 + 16 + a}{5} = \frac{55 + a}{5}

3. Show that $a = 20$:

Since the regression line is y=9x+0.6y = 9x + 0.6, it passes through the point (xˉ,yˉ)(\bar{x}, \bar{y}).
Therefore, yˉ=9xˉ+0.6\bar{y} = 9\bar{x} + 0.6.
Substituting the values of xˉ\bar{x} and yˉ\bar{y}, we get:
55+a5=9(1.6)+0.6\frac{55 + a}{5} = 9(1.6) + 0.6
55+a5=14.4+0.6\frac{55 + a}{5} = 14.4 + 0.6
55+a5=15\frac{55 + a}{5} = 15
55+a=15×555 + a = 15 \times 5
55+a=7555 + a = 75
a=7555a = 75 - 55
a=20a = 20

4. Calculate the correlation coefficient:

The formula for the correlation coefficient rr is:
r=n(xy)(x)(y)[nx2(x)2][ny2(y)2]r = \frac{n(\sum xy) - (\sum x)(\sum y)}{\sqrt{[n\sum x^2 - (\sum x)^2][n\sum y^2 - (\sum y)^2]}}
Where nn is the number of data points, which is

5. Let's calculate the necessary sums:

x=1.2+1.4+1.6+1.8+2=8\sum x = 1.2 + 1.4 + 1.6 + 1.8 + 2 = 8
y=13+12+14+16+20=75\sum y = 13 + 12 + 14 + 16 + 20 = 75
x2=1.22+1.42+1.62+1.82+22=1.44+1.96+2.56+3.24+4=13.2\sum x^2 = 1.2^2 + 1.4^2 + 1.6^2 + 1.8^2 + 2^2 = 1.44 + 1.96 + 2.56 + 3.24 + 4 = 13.2
y2=132+122+142+162+202=169+144+196+256+400=1165\sum y^2 = 13^2 + 12^2 + 14^2 + 16^2 + 20^2 = 169 + 144 + 196 + 256 + 400 = 1165
xy=(1.2)(13)+(1.4)(12)+(1.6)(14)+(1.8)(16)+(2)(20)=15.6+16.8+22.4+28.8+40=123.6\sum xy = (1.2)(13) + (1.4)(12) + (1.6)(14) + (1.8)(16) + (2)(20) = 15.6 + 16.8 + 22.4 + 28.8 + 40 = 123.6
Plugging these values into the formula for rr:
r=5(123.6)(8)(75)[5(13.2)(8)2][5(1165)(75)2]r = \frac{5(123.6) - (8)(75)}{\sqrt{[5(13.2) - (8)^2][5(1165) - (75)^2]}}
r=618600[6664][58255625]r = \frac{618 - 600}{\sqrt{[66 - 64][5825 - 5625]}}
r=18(2)(200)r = \frac{18}{\sqrt{(2)(200)}}
r=18400r = \frac{18}{\sqrt{400}}
r=1820=0.9r = \frac{18}{20} = 0.9
Since r=0.9r = 0.9, which is close to 1, the correlation is strong.

5. Estimate $y$ for $x = 3.2$:

Using the regression line equation y=9x+0.6y = 9x + 0.6:
y=9(3.2)+0.6y = 9(3.2) + 0.6
y=28.8+0.6y = 28.8 + 0.6
y=29.4y = 29.4

3. Final Answer

1. $\bar{x} = 1.6$

2. $\bar{y} = \frac{55+a}{5}$

3. $a = 20$

4. $r = 0.9$. The correlation is strong.

5. $y = 29.4$

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