The problem provides a table of data relating advertising budget $x$ and revenue $y$ for a company over four consecutive months. The regression line of $y$ on $x$ is given by the equation $y = 9x + 0.6$. We are asked to calculate the mean of $x$, the mean of $y$ in terms of $a$, show that $a = 20$, calculate the correlation coefficient and assess the strength of the correlation, and estimate $y$ for $x = 3.2$.

Applied MathematicsRegressionStatisticsCorrelationLinear RegressionMeanData Analysis
2025/4/30

1. Problem Description

The problem provides a table of data relating advertising budget xx and revenue yy for a company over four consecutive months. The regression line of yy on xx is given by the equation y=9x+0.6y = 9x + 0.6. We are asked to calculate the mean of xx, the mean of yy in terms of aa, show that a=20a = 20, calculate the correlation coefficient and assess the strength of the correlation, and estimate yy for x=3.2x = 3.2.

2. Solution Steps

1. Calculate $\bar{x}$:

xˉ\bar{x} is the mean of the xx values.
\bar{x} = \frac{1.2 + 1.4 + 1.6 + 1.8 + 2}{5} = \frac{8}{5} = 1.6

2. Calculate $\bar{y}$ in terms of $a$:

yˉ\bar{y} is the mean of the yy values.
\bar{y} = \frac{13 + 12 + 14 + 16 + a}{5} = \frac{55 + a}{5}

3. Show that $a = 20$:

The regression line passes through the point (xˉ,yˉ)(\bar{x}, \bar{y}). Therefore, we have
\bar{y} = 9\bar{x} + 0.6
Substitute xˉ=1.6\bar{x} = 1.6 and yˉ=55+a5\bar{y} = \frac{55+a}{5} into the equation:
\frac{55+a}{5} = 9(1.6) + 0.6
\frac{55+a}{5} = 14.4 + 0.6 = 15
55 + a = 5(15) = 75
a = 75 - 55 = 20

4. Calculate the correlation coefficient:

The correlation coefficient, rr, can be calculated using the formula:
r=nxy(x)(y)[nx2(x)2][ny2(y)2]r = \frac{n\sum xy - (\sum x)(\sum y)}{\sqrt{[n\sum x^2 - (\sum x)^2][n\sum y^2 - (\sum y)^2]}}
Here n=5n=5.
We have x=8\sum x = 8
y=13+12+14+16+20=75\sum y = 13 + 12 + 14 + 16 + 20 = 75
x2=1.22+1.42+1.62+1.82+22=1.44+1.96+2.56+3.24+4=13.2\sum x^2 = 1.2^2 + 1.4^2 + 1.6^2 + 1.8^2 + 2^2 = 1.44 + 1.96 + 2.56 + 3.24 + 4 = 13.2
y2=132+122+142+162+202=169+144+196+256+400=1165\sum y^2 = 13^2 + 12^2 + 14^2 + 16^2 + 20^2 = 169 + 144 + 196 + 256 + 400 = 1165
xy=(1.2)(13)+(1.4)(12)+(1.6)(14)+(1.8)(16)+(2)(20)=15.6+16.8+22.4+28.8+40=123.6\sum xy = (1.2)(13) + (1.4)(12) + (1.6)(14) + (1.8)(16) + (2)(20) = 15.6 + 16.8 + 22.4 + 28.8 + 40 = 123.6
r=5(123.6)(8)(75)[5(13.2)(8)2][5(1165)(75)2]=618600[6664][58255625]=18[2][200]=18400=1820=0.9r = \frac{5(123.6) - (8)(75)}{\sqrt{[5(13.2) - (8)^2][5(1165) - (75)^2]}} = \frac{618 - 600}{\sqrt{[66-64][5825 - 5625]}} = \frac{18}{\sqrt{[2][200]}} = \frac{18}{\sqrt{400}} = \frac{18}{20} = 0.9
Since r=0.9r = 0.9, the correlation is strong.

5. Estimate $y$ for $x = 3.2$:

Use the regression equation to estimate yy for x=3.2x = 3.2.
y = 9x + 0.6
y = 9(3.2) + 0.6 = 28.8 + 0.6 = 29.4

3. Final Answer

1. $\bar{x} = 1.6$

2. $\bar{y} = \frac{55 + a}{5}$

3. $a = 20$

4. The correlation coefficient is $0.9$. The correlation is strong.

5. Estimated $y$ for $x = 3.2$ is $29.4$.

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