The problem involves hypothesis testing for three different scenarios. Scenario 1: An e-commerce business wants to test if the proportion of satisfied customers is significantly less than 80% after launching a new website design. Scenario 2: A pharmaceutical company wants to verify if the mean Vitamin C content in tablets remains at 500 mg. The standard deviation is known to be 5 mg and a sample of 50 tablets is taken. Scenario 3: A coffee shop chain wants to assess if the average duration customers spend in their stores is less than 45 minutes. A sample of 20 customers was taken, but the standard deviation is unknown.
Probability and StatisticsHypothesis TestingZ-testT-testSample ProportionSample MeanP-valueSignificance LevelCritical Value
2025/5/15
1. Problem Description
The problem involves hypothesis testing for three different scenarios.
Scenario 1: An e-commerce business wants to test if the proportion of satisfied customers is significantly less than 80% after launching a new website design.
Scenario 2: A pharmaceutical company wants to verify if the mean Vitamin C content in tablets remains at 500 mg. The standard deviation is known to be 5 mg and a sample of 50 tablets is taken.
Scenario 3: A coffee shop chain wants to assess if the average duration customers spend in their stores is less than 45 minutes. A sample of 20 customers was taken, but the standard deviation is unknown.
2. Solution Steps
Due to the prompt's request not to use bold symbols, I will use underlines instead to represent underscores if necessary. I will provide general steps for each scenario, leaving the specifics to be filled in with hypothetical values or actual data.
Scenario 1: E-commerce Customer Satisfaction Proportion
1. Take a sample: Let's assume a sample size of $n=100$ customers. Let's say $x=70$ customers are satisfied. So, the sample proportion is $\hat{p} = \frac{x}{n} = \frac{70}{100} = 0.7$.
2. State the null and alternative hypotheses:
* Null hypothesis (): (The proportion of satisfied customers is greater than or equal to 80%)
* Alternative hypothesis (): (The proportion of satisfied customers is less than 80%)
3. Select the level of significance: Let's choose $\alpha = 0.05$.
4. Select the appropriate test statistic: Since we are testing a single population proportion and $n$ is reasonably large, we can use the z-test statistic:
where is the sample proportion, is the hypothesized proportion (0.8), and is the sample size.
5. Calculate the value of the test statistic:
6. Formulate the decision rule:
* Critical value method: For a left-tailed test with , the critical value is . We reject if .
* P-value method: Calculate the p-value, which is (using a standard normal table or calculator). We reject if the p-value is less than .
7. Decide based on your decision rule:
* Critical value method: Since , we reject .
* P-value method: Since , we reject .
8. Interpret the decision: There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the proportion of satisfied customers is significantly less than 80%.
Scenario 2: Vitamin C Content in Tablets
1. Take a sample mean: Let's assume the sample mean Vitamin C content is $\bar{x} = 498$ mg. The population standard deviation is $\sigma = 5$ mg, and the sample size is $n = 50$.
2. State the null and alternative hypotheses:
* Null hypothesis (): (The mean Vitamin C content is 500 mg)
* Alternative hypothesis (): (The mean Vitamin C content is not 500 mg)
3. Select the level of significance: Let's choose $\alpha = 0.05$.
4. Select the appropriate test statistic: Since the population standard deviation is known, we can use the z-test:
where is the sample mean, is the hypothesized population mean (500), is the population standard deviation, and is the sample size.
5. Calculate the value of the test statistic:
6. Formulate the decision rule:
* Critical value method: For a two-tailed test with , the critical values are and . We reject if or .
* P-value method: Calculate the p-value, which is (using a standard normal table or calculator). We reject if the p-value is less than .
7. Decide based on your decision rule:
* Critical value method: Since , we reject .
* P-value method: Since , we reject .
8. Interpret the decision: There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean Vitamin C content is significantly different from 500 mg.
Scenario 3: Coffee Shop Customer Duration
1. Sample information: The sample size is $n = 20$. Let's assume the sample mean duration is $\bar{x} = 42$ minutes, and the sample standard deviation is $s = 8$ minutes.
2. State the null and alternative hypotheses:
* Null hypothesis (): (The average duration is greater than or equal to 45 minutes)
* Alternative hypothesis (): (The average duration is less than 45 minutes)
3. Select the level of significance: Let's choose $\alpha = 0.05$.
4. Select the appropriate test statistic: Since the population standard deviation is unknown and the sample size is small, we use the t-test:
where is the sample mean, is the hypothesized population mean (45), is the sample standard deviation, and is the sample size. The degrees of freedom are .
5. Calculate the value of the test statistic:
6. Formulate the decision rule:
* Critical value method: For a left-tailed t-test with and , the critical value is . We reject if .
* P-value method: Calculate the p-value, which is with . Using a t-table or calculator, the p-value is approximately . We reject if the p-value is less than .
7. Decide based on your decision rule:
* Critical value method: Since , we fail to reject .
* P-value method: Since , we fail to reject .
8. Interpret the decision: There is not enough evidence to conclude that the average duration customers spend in the coffee shop is less than 45 minutes.
9. Final Answer
Scenario 1: There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the proportion of satisfied customers is significantly less than 80%.
Scenario 2: There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean Vitamin C content is significantly different from 500 mg.
Scenario 3: There is not enough evidence to conclude that the average duration customers spend in the coffee shop is less than 45 minutes.