The problem involves hypothesis testing for three different scenarios. Scenario 1: An e-commerce business wants to test if the proportion of satisfied customers is significantly less than 80% after launching a new website design. Scenario 2: A pharmaceutical company wants to verify if the mean Vitamin C content in tablets remains at 500 mg. The standard deviation is known to be 5 mg and a sample of 50 tablets is taken. Scenario 3: A coffee shop chain wants to assess if the average duration customers spend in their stores is less than 45 minutes. A sample of 20 customers was taken, but the standard deviation is unknown.

Probability and StatisticsHypothesis TestingZ-testT-testSample ProportionSample MeanP-valueSignificance LevelCritical Value
2025/5/15

1. Problem Description

The problem involves hypothesis testing for three different scenarios.
Scenario 1: An e-commerce business wants to test if the proportion of satisfied customers is significantly less than 80% after launching a new website design.
Scenario 2: A pharmaceutical company wants to verify if the mean Vitamin C content in tablets remains at 500 mg. The standard deviation is known to be 5 mg and a sample of 50 tablets is taken.
Scenario 3: A coffee shop chain wants to assess if the average duration customers spend in their stores is less than 45 minutes. A sample of 20 customers was taken, but the standard deviation is unknown.

2. Solution Steps

Due to the prompt's request not to use bold symbols, I will use underlines instead to represent underscores if necessary. I will provide general steps for each scenario, leaving the specifics to be filled in with hypothetical values or actual data.
Scenario 1: E-commerce Customer Satisfaction Proportion

1. Take a sample: Let's assume a sample size of $n=100$ customers. Let's say $x=70$ customers are satisfied. So, the sample proportion is $\hat{p} = \frac{x}{n} = \frac{70}{100} = 0.7$.

2. State the null and alternative hypotheses:

* Null hypothesis (H0H_0): p0.8p \ge 0.8 (The proportion of satisfied customers is greater than or equal to 80%)
* Alternative hypothesis (H1H_1): p<0.8p < 0.8 (The proportion of satisfied customers is less than 80%)

3. Select the level of significance: Let's choose $\alpha = 0.05$.

4. Select the appropriate test statistic: Since we are testing a single population proportion and $n$ is reasonably large, we can use the z-test statistic:

z=p^p0p0(1p0)nz = \frac{\hat{p} - p_0}{\sqrt{\frac{p_0(1-p_0)}{n}}}
where p^\hat{p} is the sample proportion, p0p_0 is the hypothesized proportion (0.8), and nn is the sample size.

5. Calculate the value of the test statistic:

z=0.70.80.8(10.8)100=0.10.16100=0.10.04=2.5z = \frac{0.7 - 0.8}{\sqrt{\frac{0.8(1-0.8)}{100}}} = \frac{-0.1}{\sqrt{\frac{0.16}{100}}} = \frac{-0.1}{0.04} = -2.5

6. Formulate the decision rule:

* Critical value method: For a left-tailed test with α=0.05\alpha = 0.05, the critical value is zα=1.645z_{\alpha} = -1.645. We reject H0H_0 if z<1.645z < -1.645.
* P-value method: Calculate the p-value, which is P(Z<2.5)=0.0062P(Z < -2.5) = 0.0062 (using a standard normal table or calculator). We reject H0H_0 if the p-value is less than α\alpha.

7. Decide based on your decision rule:

* Critical value method: Since 2.5<1.645-2.5 < -1.645, we reject H0H_0.
* P-value method: Since 0.0062<0.050.0062 < 0.05, we reject H0H_0.

8. Interpret the decision: There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the proportion of satisfied customers is significantly less than 80%.

Scenario 2: Vitamin C Content in Tablets

1. Take a sample mean: Let's assume the sample mean Vitamin C content is $\bar{x} = 498$ mg. The population standard deviation is $\sigma = 5$ mg, and the sample size is $n = 50$.

2. State the null and alternative hypotheses:

* Null hypothesis (H0H_0): μ=500\mu = 500 (The mean Vitamin C content is 500 mg)
* Alternative hypothesis (H1H_1): μ500\mu \ne 500 (The mean Vitamin C content is not 500 mg)

3. Select the level of significance: Let's choose $\alpha = 0.05$.

4. Select the appropriate test statistic: Since the population standard deviation is known, we can use the z-test:

z=xˉμ0σnz = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}}
where xˉ\bar{x} is the sample mean, μ0\mu_0 is the hypothesized population mean (500), σ\sigma is the population standard deviation, and nn is the sample size.

5. Calculate the value of the test statistic:

z=498500550=2550=20.707=2.828z = \frac{498 - 500}{\frac{5}{\sqrt{50}}} = \frac{-2}{\frac{5}{\sqrt{50}}} = \frac{-2}{0.707} = -2.828

6. Formulate the decision rule:

* Critical value method: For a two-tailed test with α=0.05\alpha = 0.05, the critical values are zα/2=1.96z_{\alpha/2} = -1.96 and z1α/2=1.96z_{1-\alpha/2} = 1.96. We reject H0H_0 if z<1.96z < -1.96 or z>1.96z > 1.96.
* P-value method: Calculate the p-value, which is 2P(Z<2.828)=20.0023=0.00462 * P(Z < -2.828) = 2 * 0.0023 = 0.0046 (using a standard normal table or calculator). We reject H0H_0 if the p-value is less than α\alpha.

7. Decide based on your decision rule:

* Critical value method: Since 2.828<1.96-2.828 < -1.96, we reject H0H_0.
* P-value method: Since 0.0046<0.050.0046 < 0.05, we reject H0H_0.

8. Interpret the decision: There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean Vitamin C content is significantly different from 500 mg.

Scenario 3: Coffee Shop Customer Duration

1. Sample information: The sample size is $n = 20$. Let's assume the sample mean duration is $\bar{x} = 42$ minutes, and the sample standard deviation is $s = 8$ minutes.

2. State the null and alternative hypotheses:

* Null hypothesis (H0H_0): μ45\mu \ge 45 (The average duration is greater than or equal to 45 minutes)
* Alternative hypothesis (H1H_1): μ<45\mu < 45 (The average duration is less than 45 minutes)

3. Select the level of significance: Let's choose $\alpha = 0.05$.

4. Select the appropriate test statistic: Since the population standard deviation is unknown and the sample size is small, we use the t-test:

t=xˉμ0snt = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}}
where xˉ\bar{x} is the sample mean, μ0\mu_0 is the hypothesized population mean (45), ss is the sample standard deviation, and nn is the sample size. The degrees of freedom are df=n1=201=19df = n-1 = 20-1 = 19.

5. Calculate the value of the test statistic:

t=4245820=384.472=31.789=1.677t = \frac{42 - 45}{\frac{8}{\sqrt{20}}} = \frac{-3}{\frac{8}{4.472}} = \frac{-3}{1.789} = -1.677

6. Formulate the decision rule:

* Critical value method: For a left-tailed t-test with α=0.05\alpha = 0.05 and df=19df=19, the critical value is tα,df=1.729t_{\alpha, df} = -1.729. We reject H0H_0 if t<1.729t < -1.729.
* P-value method: Calculate the p-value, which is P(T<1.677)P(T < -1.677) with df=19df = 19. Using a t-table or calculator, the p-value is approximately 0.0540.054. We reject H0H_0 if the p-value is less than α\alpha.

7. Decide based on your decision rule:

* Critical value method: Since 1.677>1.729-1.677 > -1.729, we fail to reject H0H_0.
* P-value method: Since 0.054>0.050.054 > 0.05, we fail to reject H0H_0.

8. Interpret the decision: There is not enough evidence to conclude that the average duration customers spend in the coffee shop is less than 45 minutes.

9. Final Answer

Scenario 1: There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the proportion of satisfied customers is significantly less than 80%.
Scenario 2: There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean Vitamin C content is significantly different from 500 mg.
Scenario 3: There is not enough evidence to conclude that the average duration customers spend in the coffee shop is less than 45 minutes.

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