The problem provides the dividends paid by SHELL Company for the last four years: $1.7, $2.5, $2.7, $3.2$. It also states that the Year 4 dividend ($D_0$) is $3.2$ and will grow at a constant rate like in the previous period. The required rate of return is $0.47$. We need to find the growth rate of the dividends and the price of the stock.

Applied MathematicsFinancial ModelingGordon Growth ModelDividend Discount ModelGrowth RateStock Valuation
2025/7/8

1. Problem Description

The problem provides the dividends paid by SHELL Company for the last four years: 1.7,1.7, 2.5, 2.7,2.7, 3.2.ItalsostatesthattheYear4dividend(. It also states that the Year 4 dividend (D_0)is) is 3.2andwillgrowataconstantratelikeinthepreviousperiod.Therequiredrateofreturnis and will grow at a constant rate like in the previous period. The required rate of return is 0.47$. We need to find the growth rate of the dividends and the price of the stock.

2. Solution Steps

First, we need to find the growth rate gg of the dividends. Since the problem states that the dividends will grow at the same rate as in the previous period, we need to calculate the growth rate between each year.
Year 1 to Year 2: Growth rate = (2.51.7)/1.7=0.8/1.70.4706(2.5 - 1.7) / 1.7 = 0.8 / 1.7 \approx 0.4706
Year 2 to Year 3: Growth rate = (2.72.5)/2.5=0.2/2.5=0.08(2.7 - 2.5) / 2.5 = 0.2 / 2.5 = 0.08
Year 3 to Year 4: Growth rate = (3.22.7)/2.7=0.5/2.70.1852(3.2 - 2.7) / 2.7 = 0.5 / 2.7 \approx 0.1852
Since the problem states that the dividend will grow at a constant rate "like in the previous period", we should use the growth from year 3 to year

4. So $g = 0.1852$.

Next, we use the Gordon Growth Model (also known as the Dividend Discount Model) to calculate the price of the stock. The formula for the stock price P0P_0 is:
P0=D1rgP_0 = \frac{D_1}{r - g}
where D1D_1 is the expected dividend next year, rr is the required rate of return, and gg is the growth rate.
We are given D0=3.2D_0 = 3.2, r=0.47r = 0.47, and g=0.1852g = 0.1852. We can find D1D_1 by multiplying D0D_0 by (1+g)(1 + g):
D1=D0(1+g)=3.2(1+0.1852)=3.21.1852=3.79264D_1 = D_0 * (1 + g) = 3.2 * (1 + 0.1852) = 3.2 * 1.1852 = 3.79264
Now we can plug the values into the formula:
P0=3.792640.470.1852=3.792640.284813.316P_0 = \frac{3.79264}{0.47 - 0.1852} = \frac{3.79264}{0.2848} \approx 13.316

3. Final Answer

Growth rate: 0.1852
Price of the stock: 13.316

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