Person A and Person B agree to meet at a location within the time interval $[0, T]$. The first person who arrives waits for time $t$ before leaving, where $t < T$. Given that each person's arrival time is uniformly random and independent, what is the probability that they successfully meet?

Probability and StatisticsProbabilityUniform DistributionJoint ProbabilityGeometric Probability
2025/3/13

1. Problem Description

Person A and Person B agree to meet at a location within the time interval [0,T][0, T]. The first person who arrives waits for time tt before leaving, where t<Tt < T. Given that each person's arrival time is uniformly random and independent, what is the probability that they successfully meet?

2. Solution Steps

Let XX be the arrival time of person A and YY be the arrival time of person B. Both XX and YY are uniformly distributed in the interval [0,T][0, T]. Thus, the joint probability density function is given by
f(x,y)=1T2f(x, y) = \frac{1}{T^2}, for 0xT0 \le x \le T and 0yT0 \le y \le T.
They will meet if the absolute difference between their arrival times is no more than tt, i.e., XYt|X - Y| \le t. This inequality can be written as tXYt-t \le X - Y \le t, or XtYX+tX - t \le Y \le X + t.
We need to find the probability that XtYX+tX - t \le Y \le X + t. This is given by the integral of the joint probability density function over the region where this inequality holds.
P(XYt)=xytf(x,y)dxdy=1T2xytdxdyP(|X - Y| \le t) = \iint_{|x-y| \le t} f(x, y) dx dy = \frac{1}{T^2} \iint_{|x-y| \le t} dx dy
The region of integration is defined by 0xT0 \le x \le T, 0yT0 \le y \le T, and xtyx+tx - t \le y \le x + t.
We can compute the area of this region by subtracting the area of the two triangles where they don't meet from the total area T2T^2.
The region where they don't meet is defined by y>x+ty > x + t or y<xty < x - t.
The area of the triangle where y>x+ty > x + t is 12(Tt)2\frac{1}{2}(T-t)^2.
The area of the triangle where y<xty < x - t is 12(Tt)2\frac{1}{2}(T-t)^2.
So, the area where they do not meet is (Tt)2(T-t)^2.
The area where they do meet is T2(Tt)2=T2(T22Tt+t2)=2Ttt2T^2 - (T-t)^2 = T^2 - (T^2 - 2Tt + t^2) = 2Tt - t^2.
Then the probability that they meet is
P(XYt)=2Ttt2T2=t(2Tt)T2=2tTt2T2P(|X - Y| \le t) = \frac{2Tt - t^2}{T^2} = \frac{t(2T - t)}{T^2} = 2\frac{t}{T} - \frac{t^2}{T^2}.

3. Final Answer

The probability that A and B successfully meet is 2Ttt2T2=2tTt2T2\frac{2Tt - t^2}{T^2} = 2\frac{t}{T} - \frac{t^2}{T^2}.

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